Rent-A-Vet: Julio Lugo

"So anyways, I was standing there waiting to use the pay phone and this guy who was on the phone, turns around and tips his hat like this."

"And who do you think that guy was?"

 Julio Lugo and  I was like, "JULIO."

Julio Lugo is relevant once again, how you say. Well in a late spring move the Orioles acquired the former Red Sox and now Cardinals cast off for a bucket of balls. The trade made some sense with Brian Roberts back issues and only Ty Wiggington on the roster to fill in at second if needed, the O's needed and upgrade and Lugo was just that.

Well look now Roberts has been formally placed on the D.L. and Julio Lugo is your starting second baseman in Baltimore. For how long, who knows Roberts did just have an epidural for his back so this could be an ongoing issue.

Now back to Lugo, believe it or not he had a very solid year in 2009 putting up a .284 avg 40 runs 3 HR 21 RBI and 9 SB. He wont help in the power numbers and it looks like the speed numbers are on a drastic decline, but he should be able to score some runs and hit for a decent avg. You could find a lot worse if you are a Brian Roberts owner.

Pick up Lugo for the short term he could surprise you.

The Bay State Scout
(Bay_state_scout@comcast.net)

Tout Wars Style League

I am participating in a tout wars style auction league run by Fantasy Baseball Trade Market. This league has writers from multiple sites competing in it and I am going to make sure to keep everyone involved as I go through this season.

First thing, for those who don't know the tout wars scoring system here it is.

Standard rotisserie scoring with your basic 5X5 categories runs, RBI, steals, HR, AVG, wins, saves, K's, WHIP, and ERA. we had 260 dollars for the draft and will have a 100 dollar free agent budget to fill out a 28 man roster. starting roster is 2 C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, MI, CI, 5 OF, UTL, and 9 P.

Well, the draft was interesting it took 4 hours to complete and it was obvious early that bidding was a little high. My goal originally was to land at least one of the big boppers Hanley or Pujols but this plan quickly dissolved.

Once my plan had crumbled I changed direction and decided to spend the big bucks on Lincecum $38 and Halladay $37 which should give me a nice edge in the pitching categories. I now needed to try and piece together an offense with duck tape and sticks, which sucked but I was pleased with the results.

My roster:

Bay state scout (PFB)

C. Chris iannetta $3

C. Jorge Posada $4

1B. Billy Butler $20

2B. Scott Sizemore $3

3B. Aramis Ramirez $15

SS. Derek Jeter $21

CI. Carlos Pena $14

MI. Elvis Andrus $10

Of. Jacoby Ellsbury $27

Of. Alex Rios $15

Of. Matt Laporta $6

Of. Chris Coghlan $6

Of. Raul Ibanez $10

UTL. Hedeki Matsui $1

P. Tim Lincecum $38

P. Roy Halladay $37

P. James Shields $6

P. Carlos Zambrano $3

P. Roy Oswalt $2

P. Jeff Nieman $1

P. Ervin Santana $1

P. Matt Capps $1

P. Jose Valverde $8

BN. Conor Jackson $1

BN. Nick Johnson $4

BN. Kelly Johnson $1

BN. CJ Wilson $1

BN. Joel Pinero $1

Overall I am pretty balanced on offense with high average guys Jeter and Ramirez and 20 home run caliber players Butler and Rios nice sprinkle of speed with Andrus and Ellsbury leading the way. My weaknesses are most definitely saves and I would say RBI but I think I should be very competitive with this team as is. If I am able to pull off a couple solid deals I think I could win this thing but only time will tell.

I will update what is going on for me as I represent the PFB in this league. I will do a weekly article to fill everyone in on my free agent moves and possible trades and keep you all informed of my position in the standings.

Bay State Scout

(bay_state_scout@comcast.net)

Crushing Blow Branyan style

Manny Acta has Stated that newly signed Russell Branyan who hit 31 HR's for Seattle last season will start at First base this season for the Indians. Well So much for Michael Brantley or Matt Laporta being full time or even major league players this year. Laporta looked like the starting first baseman until this news, and Brantley looked to be starting in left until now.

My personal opinion is that Laporta will be with the Big club playing left and should still be on your radar. Expect some struggles from Laporta as this will be his first full season in the big leagues.(temper expectations) The Biggest loser in all of this is Michael Brantley, who I have seen touted all over the Internet as a sleeper. I have even heard people say they think he will put up Kemp like numbers from Kemp's rookie campaign.(Kemp's first year as a full time starter 2008: 606, AB's, 290 avg, 340 obp, 18 hr's, 76 rbi, and 35 steals).

Although I think Brantley could do this in a couple years I do not think he is ready to do that this season. Now, he won't even have the chance. Brantley will get full time AB's but not with the Big club. My personal opinion is that Brantley will start the year in AAA barring an injury in Spring ball. All that said, I am buying Branyan as a late round utility pick for his 30-40 hr potential. If Branyan can stay healthy I see no reason why he can't repeat what he did last year. Branyan Projection: 260 avg 60 runs 35 hrs 96 rbi and 1 SB.

The Bay State Scout (Bay_state_scout@comcast.net)
It has been confirmed by a report in the Cleveland Plain dealer (http://www.cleveland.com/tribe/index.ssf/2010/02/cleveland_indians_sign_russell.html)

Role Playing in M's Camp

It, was reported earlier today that Chone Figgins and Jose Lopez were spotted in a bit of a role playing exercise.

Figgins was playing the role of second baseman and Lopez covered third. This could be Huge for Fantasy owners. Figgins is a lower tier 3rd Baseman in my opinion due to his extreme lack of power potential. But put Figgins at second base and watch out he immediately becomes a top-six option and possibly top-five depending how you feel about Aaron Hill (who I think will hurt a lot of teams).

I put Figgins 5th in a second base ranking behind Utley, Kinsler, Cano, Pedroia and Figgins. I have Figgins ranked 9th in my third baseman rankings behind A-ROD, Longoria, Reynolds, Wright, Youk, Zimmerman, Sandoval, Ramirez, and Figgins.

I am buying Figgins at second and I think if it is confirmed that he will be the full-time second baseman he should now move into the second-round any lower makes him a great value pick.

Projections: .290 BA, 80-90 runs, 40 RBI's, 1 HR and 35 steals.

The Bay State Scout

(Bay_State_Scout@comcast.net)

Over Looked

Last year many players that had all the pre draft hype may have failed miserably. What does that mean to me, you ask? Well it means you can get these guys much cheaper in the draft this year and ride them to glory.

Here are two of my Favorites that I feel are going to out produce many players taken before them.

1. SP Francisco Liriano: Liriano is coming off a season where he just fell off the map going 5-13 with a 5.80 ERA. He was in and out of the rotation with arm issues and just couldn't put it together. I know his 2ND half last year was not good going 1-4 with a +6 ERA and everyone is backing off because of it. That is good for you, according to Mockdraftcentral.com his current ADP has him being drafted at 215 as the 57Th pitcher off the board and he is being undrafted in about 14% of leagues.

Am I inspiring you to take him yet? I should be because he was at times Dominant in winter league ball. In his last game for his Dominican winter league club he struck out 10 over 5 well allowing just 1 hit and was consistently hitting 95 MPH with his fastball and showing a tight break on his slider.

Grab him as a number 3 and by mid year you will have a Fantasy ACE.

2. SP Ervin Santana: Santana is another player who destroyed many a fantasy team last year. He finished 8-8 with a 5.10 ERA and battled arm issues all season. His current ADP is also in the 200's at number 227 the 63rd pitcher off the board.

The angels lost Lackey and to be competitive this guy needs to pitch like he did in 2008 and I think he will. He finished last year very strong going 7-3 with a 3.90 ERA 77 K's in 99 innings and 2 CG while allowing a 260 BA Against for the Angels.

I think Santana, like Liriano, should be drafted as a potential fantasy ACE.

The Bay State Scout
(bay_state_scout@comcast.net)

Rent-A-Vet: Willy Aybar

With Carlos Pena to miss the rest of the season with 2 broken fingers (thanks to C.C Sabathia).

Willy Aybar will take over frist base duties for a still potent Rays lineup.

Aybar has had a pretty good year with part time at bats. he has produced a 252 BA with 10 HRs 32 RBI and a 338 OBP.

He won't dominate by any means but he could definetly provide some RBI's and Power in the last few weeks of the season.

The Bay State Scout

RENT-A-VET: Mark Ellis

Its getting close and now your fighting for every point to win your league. This is the time when those players on a hot streak can be really important to grab. This week Grab Mark Ellis quickly.

Since Ellis has come back from the DL he has been scorching. Over his last 6 games Ellis is hitting 556 with 9 RBI and that's not counting today's game where he went 2-3 with a walk-off HR and 2 RBI.

2ND Base is still a very thin position and he can help you well he is hot. Get him now before he cools off.

The Bay State Scout

Player to be named later was traded again!

The Twins made a waiver wire deal yesterday when they acquired Carl Pavano for a player to be named later. Now I know, who cares it is Carl (Freaking) Pavano, but Carl Pavano just might be able to help you down the stretch. Pavano has been extremely inconsistent this year and his ERA (5.37) and WHIP (1.38), Show how bad he has been at times. However, if you look a little deeper into his peripherals, he is not that bad. He is sporting a solid K\9 rate of 6.30 and a decent k\BB rate of 3.83, but the most telling stat is his FIP which is 4.26, more then a run below his current ERA. It is possible that Pavano will pitch better now, A. Being traded to a contender and B. A better defensive ball club. He is worth a stab and could get ya some wins and decent ratios from here on out.

The Bay State Scout

Oakland is buying?

Oakland acquired Scott Hairston from the padres today for two low level prospects. So Oakland is in buying mode? Maybe, but either way Hairston 29 is under contract until 2011. Hairston has 20-20 ability and he was finally starting to get full time at bats in San Diego. Well now he is guaranteed full time AB's because he is better then Oakland's other options. Also gaining value from this deal is rookie Kyle Blanks. He will now be a full time outfielder in San Diego as they begin their rebuilding process. Blanks has struggled in limited AB's so far hitting 181 and knocking in 3 runs but he is the Padres top prospect and they are going to give him the opportunity to be successful in the bigs. What this means for Oakland is either Travis Buck or Ryan Sweeney are going to the bench or the minors and Hairston will be starting and hitting in a much better lineup. Bottom line: BUY HAIRSTON The Bay State Scout

Finally the strikeout machine is gone!

BYE BYE Chris Davis! Been nice knowing ya! The Rangers announced after tonights game that they are activating Josh Hamilton from the DL and to make space they will send Chris (Big Whiff) Davis to AAA Oklahoma City where he will split time with Justin Smoak, until Smoak is promoted that is. Well, in my opinion this demotion was a long time coming. Yes, Davis had 15 HRs and yes he played solid Defense at first but the one thing he excelled at is getting K'd. To say that Davis has been a disappointment is a HUGE understatement, this guy has been an absolute disaster in his sophomore year. In 258 AB's Davis was able to hit 15 HRs which sounds nice but look a little closer. Davis hit 15 HRs and drove in only 33 runs which means most were solo shots. Davis had a underwhelming 256 OBP and a sub 2.00 BA after tonight's game, he had 113 strikeouts in 258 AB's which put him on pace for almost 235 which would have shattered Mark Reynolds record of 204 from last year. Also he manged to kill more rallies then start with a 221 BA with RISP. Now he did hit 285 last year so the skills are there but he was unable to make the adjustments needed at the big league level, so he will be back but it might not be till next year(Reference Nelson Cruz if you want to know how the Rangers might handle this situation). The big story now, is that the Justin Smoak watch has officially begun, he was moved to AAA Oklahoma city over the weekend which I think was a calculated move by the Rangers to Prep him for a second half call up. Smoak has been tearing up the minors From single A to AAA to the tune of a 335 BA, 35 runs scored, 8 HRs 34 RBI and a 456 OBP (200 BA and 429 OBP in AAA so far) in 194 ABs. He's the next big thing in Texas and I think he will be up shortly after the break. The Bay State Scout

Trade winds are blowing in Washington and Pittsburgh

Today the Nats and Pirates made a small deal to kick off their rebuilding. The Nats acquired Sean Burnett aand Nyjer Morgan in exchange for Lastings Millidge and Joel Hanrahan.

This was a great trade for the Pirates getting a talent like Milledge on the cheap.

Also today the Pirates dealt Eric Hinske to the Yankees for some low level prospects, nothing exciting about this deal except for the fact that Steven pierce looks to finally get extended playing time in Pittsburgh now.

Milledge was moved to the leadoff spot early in the season for the Nats and struggled with the adjustment and instead of just moving him down and letting him break out of it the optioned him to AAA, Where he went on to injure his leg and has not played since May.

Millidge is only 24 and still has 20-20 elite talent if he can get his act together, for pittsburgh it is worth the risk. A top of the order that will have Mccutchen and Milledge would be very exciting for years to come.

Hanrahan has all the Skills to be a closer he just fell apart this year maybe the change in scenery will help either way he is younger and has better skills then Burnett.

As for the Nats they get Nyjer Morgan who is having his career year right now at age 29 and is a solid leadoff man and should help the Nats defensively at least. I would rather want the younger Millidge.

and Sean Burnett is a solid but not overwhelming 26 yr old middle reliever.

The Bay State Scout

Rent-A-Vet: Scott Podsednik

Welcome back to fantasy relevance Scotty Pods.

Podsednik has been getting full time at bats and leading off for the White Sox recently nad has responded.

On the season pods is batting 292 with 14 runs and 9 steals.

Pods won't provide any power but he will give you good avg, runs and steal totals while receiving full time at bats.

Jump on board if you need help in any of these stats or a fill in due to some of the injured OF studs like Sizemore or Hamilton.

bay_state_scout@comcast.net

The Bay State Scout

Is the Price right?

David Price just might be on his way to Tampa. Today Scott Kazmir was placed on the 15 day DL and will probably be out the fully allowed time to get himself right. Kazmir was supposed to start Tuesday so the Rays have time to make a decision. Price has struggled a bit in AAA however he has only been allowed to go 5 innings in every start and in his last start he had a no hitter through 5 with 9 K's. Those Fantasy owners that have been hanging onto Price might be getting that pay day they've been waiting for. The Bay State Scout (bay_state_scout@comcast.net)

PAPI does it

Big Papi Finally goes yard!

Today against the Blue Jays in Ortiz's second game back from a "mental break" he went 2-5 with a 2 run bomb to dead center and a double off the monster.

This HR was Ortiz's first of the year and first in 149 at bats the longest power outage of his career.

Does this mean he is about to go on a hot streak?

Big Papi has struggled mightily this season and I would say he has at least one hot streak left in him.

So for those of you that own Ortiz hope this is that streak and then trade him to some poor owner that thinks the Boston slugger is back.

Bay State Scout

(Bay_state_scout@comcast.net)

Rent-a-Vet: Jorge De La Rosa

OK don't laugh but it is seriously time to take Jorge De La Rosa seriously!

Last night De La Rosa struck out 10 batters and in his last start he struck out 12. In fact since last years all star break De La Rosa has pitched like a staff ace. (stats from ASB to now: 115.2 IP, 93 H, 55 BB, 113 K, 1.284 WHIP, 3.13 ERA)

I would say pick him up and ride the hot streak but looking at those stats and his stats so far for this season(42.7 IP, 34 H, 16 BB, 45 K, 1.17 WHIP, 3.16 ERA) it might be time to consider him viable for the long haul.

De La Rosa is only owned in 21% of CBS leagues, 10% of Yahoo leagues and 4.6% in ESPN Leagues. He is available and no one wants him because of the sour taste his name leaves but I am telling you go get him NOW!

The Bay State Scout

(bay_state_scout@comcast.net)

Prospect Watch: Mat Gamel Come on down.

Mat Gamel is being called up for the game today. No Bill Hall is not losing his job, Damn!

Gamel is just being brought up to be a bat off the bench and possible DH for interleague play. However, if Gamel comes up and kills the ball they will be forced to find a place for him somewhere, so I would not worry about picking him up.

Gamel had a solid season last year for AA Huntsville with a line of 329 avg, 96 runs, 19 HRs, 96 RBI and a 395 OBP. As for this season so far Gamel has been raking. His line as of today is a 336 avg, 25 runs, 8 HRs, 31 RBI, and a 428 OBP for AAA Nashville.

Pick up Gamel and hope he hits because if he doesn't he will be back in AAA in a week.

The Bay State Scout

Prospect Watch: Reimold coming up

Nolan Reimold is Finally getting the call to the Majors that he deserves. Reimold will be called up to start immediately due to all the injuries in the Orioles outfield. Reimold is an older prospect at age 25 but he has shown 30 HR potential in the minors and has a decent eye at the Plate. If Reimold can do what he was doing for AAA Norfolk he could be up with the big club to stay. Reimold is having a great start to 2009 his stats as of right now BA 394 21 runs 9 HRs 27 RBI 6 SB and a 485 OBP. Last season at AA Bowie Reimold finished the yr with a 284 avg, 87 runs, 25 HRs, 84 RBI 7 SB and a 367 OBP. Pick up Reimold right now if you can I think he will be the answer to the Orioles LF problem immediately. The Bay State Scout

Time to worry in Toronto

B J Ryan has been awful this year and it doesn't appear to be getting any better. Last night Ryan blew his second save of the season and looked real bad doing it. Ryan allowed three runs on one hit and one walk in one inning. Ryan's ERA now stands at 11+ and he is sporting a hefty 2.29 WHIP.

I would start looking elsewhere for saves if you have Ryan. Look into picking up Scott Downs or Jason Frasor if they are available.

The Bay State Scout

Rent-a-Vet: Chris Duncan

Chris Duncan went 0-4 last night ending his 13 game hit streak, However he is still hitting over 330 on the season with 2 HR's, 12 RBI, 7 Runs and a 410 OBP.

Duncan was a 25-30 HR hitter for the cards up until last season when he had to have back surgery. He looks to be back and fully healthy with a starting job.

Duncan is only owned in 38% of Yahoo leagues and is eligible at 1B and OF. Pick him up and ride him till the wheels come off.

The Bay State Scout

Rent-A-Vet Luke Scott

Luke Scott OF for the Orioles is having a Solid season so Far.

He is Batting 300 with a 380 OBP and 3 HR's, 8 RBI and 7 Runs scored through the first 3 weeks of the season.

The Orioles Offense has been a lot better then expected so far this season and Scott should be picked up until the Orioles slow down.

He is only owned in 6% of Yahoo Leagues and could be use full if you are dealing with injuries like Vlad.

The Bay State Scout

Rent A Vet: Russell Branyan

This Week I recommend picking up Russell Branyan. He is the Staring first baseman for the Mariners and is only owned in 1% of Yahoo Leagues, 14% of CBS Leagues and 3% in ESPN leagues.

So far Branyan has carried over his spring success (7 HR's and 18 RBI with a 278 AVG and 337 OBP) into the regular season (2 HR's 3 RBI 1 SB a 286 AVG and a 373 OBP). Branyan has always been a hot streak guy and he could be starting one right now. It helps that he has 6 games this week all against right handers. Branyan has a 519 SLG % over the past three seasons against righties. In that three year span he has hit 36 HR's in 462 at bats. Pick him up for this week and hope this is the start of a 1-2 week homer binge. The Bay State Scout

Hold or Fold

First off I would like to send out my thoughts and prayers to all members of the Adenhart family. It was a sad day for all baseball fans to see a kid just about to come into his own tragically lose his life to a drunk driver. These things happen everyday and it is a terrible thing to drink and drive.

In memory of:

Now as for fantasy baseball the first week is almost in the books and now it is time to hold or fold some of those draft picks you have.

Hold:

Justin Upton--He is 20 years old and is batting 8Th on a part time basis, why shouldn't I drop this kid? Well first he is 20 years old and has all the talent to be a superstar for years. He is going to have growing pains but because of his High OBP last year I think over the course of 162 he is going to be a solid 3rd OF. Bench him till you see signs of life but don't give up on the kid yet.

Lastings Milledge--This is a personal favorite of mine, I know he is off to a horrible start but I still see him as a 20-30 guy by seasons end. The issue right now is that he needs to be moved down in the order he is pressing to much batting leadoff. If they move him to second or fifth he would produce more. Lets not forget he led the Nationals in RBI and SB's last year.

Ching Meng Wang--He was torched for 7 runs in 3 2\3 innings in his first start since last June. He is a solid ground ball pitcher who should not be your current staff ace. He will get you wins and decent era and whip ratios but he will not help in K's. try to get him if you can afford the hit in K's and if you have him hang onto him he will be fine.

Fold:

Cliff Lee--OK I know he won the CY Young last year and the Indians have a better bullpen this year and, the offense is improved. Well I am not buying Lee at all, I just think you should try to trade him well he has value. Cliff Lee is not an ace he never projected to be an ace and is being overvalued due to he awsome season that he had last year. He will come back to earth the season and be a solid number 2 or 3 starter and that isn't bad but you might be able to trade him at last years value if you act now. Move him quickly if you can get something good.

Brian Fuentes--I know I have put in the past that I love Fuentes, However, something is wrong. Fuentes is topping out in the mid to high 80's (which is not a good sign for a low 90's pitcher)and he has been very hittable. I think there is a undisclosed injury and he will end up on the DL sooner then later.

Chris Davis-- I know what is wrong with me, I am telling you to get rid of the next Ryan Braun, well YES! Chris Davis is over matched right now and we have seen this before in Texas with Nelson Cruz Circa 2007. Davis better start hitting soon or he will be in AAA, because the Rangers have enough offense that they feel they can contend and they will grow impatient. I can see the Rangers sending Davis down and Starting Jones at DH, Blalock at 3rd, Salty at 1st and Teagarden at catcher. Davis doesn't Provide enough in his other stats, he will hurt you in AVG, Runs, OBP, and steals. Just my opinion and I am sticking too it, been proved wrong before and for Davis's owners sake I hope I am again.

The Bay State Scout

Opening day here and now gone!

Well, we all waited with great anticipation for this day and now its gone. Opening day is almost like Christmas for fantasy owners, we all drafted OUR GUYS and want to see how they do. We all want to look like geniuses right off the bat and have our sleepers break right out of the gate on fire, so we can brag about how smart we were for drafting this guy and that guy. When looking at opening day with the tears of joy or remorse because your team stunk it up or blew the league away, just remember it is a LONG LONG season. Opening day never really tells you how the season will go. Do not PANIC your studs will be studs barring injury. The only thing opening day could do is help you make a trade or two. You need to start putting those feelers out there now on certain guys. Get to know your opposition and find that guy that is knee jerk reactionary so you can steal a "Stud" for a dud or two. Every league has THAT GUY who is now having a restless nights sleep because his "Stud" player laid an egg on opening day. THAT guy wants to give you his players and you should oblige him and take them off his hands. Tell him that Sabathia will not be good in NY or that Brandon Webb is really hurt. He is already thinking it so it isn't a hard sell. Start touting those young guys like Adam Lind "Man 6 RBI a HR this kid is going to Break out in a big way" you would be amazed at the offers you might get. Sell him a guy like Bonifacio " Did you see this kid 4-6 a HR 3 SB man he can fly he will steal 100 bases you watch" People will buy into it, the Hype train has left the station and Bonifacio is the conductor. I am a big believer in Selling high sometimes it burns you but in baseball usually guys do what they are supposed to do. A guy like Webb or Sabathia will be alright so try to catch someone napping and strike fast.

The Bay State Scout

Spring fortunes rise and fall

As the last week of spring training comes to an end rosters are now sorting themselves out. There has been plenty to talk about with big time prospects Wieters and Price being sent down at least for April. we all know about those two so lets look at some new winners and losers from spring training.

Winners:

Brett Gardner: Giradi has named Gardner the starting CF for the yanks this year. Now if you came out of your draft light on speed don't panic YET! Gardner should definitely provide 30-40 steals and in that lineup he should chip in with some runs and a decent avg and obp.

Recommendation: Quickly get him if you need speed!

Dwayne Wise: Guillen has name Wise the starting CF and lead off hitter for the south siders. I don't think that he will last to long for the sox as a lead off hitter or center fielder. I think that ken Williams knows he needs to make a move and I could see Juan Pierre starting in Chacago by Mid Season. If no deal is made then Brian Anderson should end up being the starter in chicago.

Recommendation: Avoid

Jordan Schafer: With the trade of Josh Anderson to the Tigers center field in Atlanta is now down to Gregor Blanco and Jordan Schafer. Blanco stinks, my money is on Schafer he is having a great spring. This kid was a big time prospect until he was suspended for PEDs last year. well he is back and I say he starts and could provide some pop and some speed.

Recommendation: Pick him up in deep leagues and Keeper leagues could go 20\20.

Trevor Cahill\Brett Anderson: They made it thanks to Duchsherers injuries both will start in the rotation. Cahill has way more upside thanks to his Strong K rate but I am hearing that Anderson is the more polished of the two. My personal feeling is you can't go wrong with either, lets call them 1A and 1B. Just remember they are both only 21 and this is their first go in the Bigs expect growing pains.

Recommendation: Keeper\Dynasty Special and deep single season pickup. let someone else have them in those 8-10 team leagues.

Nick Adenhart: The Angels have all kinds of issues in their rotation with Lackey, Escobar, Santana and Weaver are banged up. Saunders who over achieved last yr has now become the De facto ACE for the Angels. Well now POST HYPE prospect Adenhart has a rotation spot and has had a solid spring lets see if he can live up to his potential this time.

Recommendation: Get him on your bench especially in keeper leagues, he has talent and might finally put it together.

Scott Downs: with Bj Ryans velocity still in the mid to low 80's Cito Gaston has mention Downs name for save opportunities. Downs could be the full time closer if needed and it looks like Ryan will have a short leash if not a early DL stint coming.

Recommendation: handcuff Ryan with Downs.

Kevin Gregg: He was officially named the closer over the weekend and I say he keeps the job all year. Pinella wants Marmol as a set up guy and that is how it will stay.

Recommendation: Gregg is who you want you can drop Marmol.

Jason Motte: He was named the closer this weekend and he has the best stuff of any Cardinals reliever.

Recommendation: Go get him in all leagues and hope he doesn't implode.

Carlos Villanueva: Was named the interim closer until Hoffman returns which could be awhile. Villanueva has enough ability that if he takes this job and runs with it he won't look back. Sorry Hoffy but you are over the hill Villanueva is very good.

Recommendation: If you have Hoffman you need Villanueva grab him and hang onto him Hoffman may be out for more then 2 weeks.

Losers:

BJ RYAN: Velocity issues in his second season back from TJ is not good and the Blue Jays appear worried by saying Scott Downs will get some save chances. Ryan should be fine but he might need a DL stint early to work on some things during a rehab assignment.

Chris Perez: Looked to be the Closer coming into spring. well he isn't he was sent down and Motte was named the closer. I won't say he wont be back but who knows with Larussa. If Motte Fails avoid the Cardinals Closing situation all together.

Price and Wieters: Sent down to start the year. Grab these guys and wait it wont be long it is just a money game now.

The Angels Rotation: All hurt, Lackey scares me, Santana will be nice if you can get him cheap, I like Weaver to put it together this year, and Escobar I think could be a big surprise this year stash him on your bench and hope for no setbacks.

Trevor Hoffman: That dreaded oblique injury that likes to linger for a long time has struck again. I think that Hoffman is on the fast track to retirement and Villanueva could definitely keep this job thanks to Hoffmans injuries and declining skills.

Joey Devine: Dealing with elbow pain and looks like he is heading to the DL. Devine has awesome stuff and should be the closer in Oakland but now it looks like injuries will keep him out for awhile. This is worth monitoring cause Devine is they reliever you would want in Oakland when healthy.

Carlos Marmol: He was not named closer and I don't think he ever will be. Pinella values setup guys way more then closers and Marmol is one of the best. Greg is the guy for the Cubbies and has enough talent to keep it all year barring injury. Avoid Marmol!

Week left to finalize those rosters I hope this helps. This next week is huge for filling those holes you have from draft day so make sure you are active on the wire.

The Bay State Scout

Oakland has a new Big three!

Oakland's original big three of Hudson, Zito and Mulder was one of the best rotations in baseball. Is it possible that Oakland has another trio down on the farm? Yes! and you might see them this year. Oakland's new big three consists of three prospects all under 22 years of age. Cahill(21), Mazzaro(22), and Anderson(21). It is starting to look like two if not all three of these young studs could break camp with the A's starting rotation. Team ace Justin Duchsherer and fifth starter candidate Gio Gonzalez look like they could both start the year on the DL. That will leave Dana Eveland (named opening day starter today) Sean Gallagher (the prize of the Harden deal) and Dallas Braden (having a really good spring) as the top three starters for opening day. That means two spots are open in the rotation for these prospects to claim. Anderson is having the best spring(1.54 era, 11.2 ip, but only 2 K's), Cahill is also having a great spring(3.94 era, 16 ip, 10 K's) and Cahill has logged the most innings this spring so far. Right now it looks like Mazzaro would be the odd man out with his poor spring(7.30 era, 12 ip, 12 K's) but Anderson is dealing with a stiff forearm which could allow Mazzaro to sneak in. My personal feeling is that Cahill is a lock to open the year in the bigs as the fourth starter and he should be drafted in the late rounds of your draft. As for the fifth spot in this rotation, your guess is as good as mine. Both Anderson and Mazzaro are elite prospects and should be monitored for the rest of spring training. Is there a chance all three start the year in the majors? Simple answer is YES! they could. Check out this blog from MLB.com's Mychael Urban on the subject, http://bigurb.mlblogs.com/archives/2009/03/interesting_comments_from_mr_g.html

The Bay State Scout

Pitching, Pitching, Pitching

I was going to go through and Breakdown all MLB teams pitching staffs but this changes daily, So I thought it will be better to just give my thoughts on some under the radar guys to target in the closing rounds of your draft. Value and upside is what fantasy players scour the waiver wires and late rds of a draft for, and I think these guys have both. Here is my list of guys to target late: 1. Rich Hill--Yes he was horrible last, yes Pinella sent him to the minors for the year and he couldn't get back with the big club. Now he is in Baltimore hopefully its a new beginning. Lets not forget 2 years ago when hill looked like the next big time ace. In 2007 Hill was 11-8 with a 3.92 ERA 183 K's and a 1.19 WHIP in 195 INN, could he get back to that? Even if he cant do that, Hill showed he has talent and Baltimore could have themselves a diamond in the rough. I say burn a bench spot on him just on the off chance he finds the strike zone again and looks closer to his 2007 stats. 2. Sean Gallagher-- This guy has filthy stuff and can get you K's, he does have control issues, however he is locked into a rotation on what could be a contender this year. Last year Gallagher had a 8.58 K/9 rate and Billy Beene has an eye for pitching. Big time upside and going undrafted in most leagues, take the stab. 3. Micah Owings--Owings started last year on fire and looked to be on his way to a breakout year. Then it all fell apart and he was sent to the bullpen and then dealt to the Reds for Adam Dunn. Start 2009 He is showing his skills in spring training and looks like he is going to lock up the 5Th spot in an already loaded young Reds rotation. I think the Reds lineup is much improved and if Owings can do close to what he did in the first month last year(31 IP 4-0 3.48 ERA 28 K's and a 1.00 WHIP) he should be a serviceable bye week guy. To bad most leagues don't count hitting for pitchers cause Owings can rake. 4.David Purcey--OK unlike the other guys in my list, Purcey is older(28) for a prospect. The main thing I like about him is his 8.03 K/9 rate that he showed last year in the majors. Again like all the others if he can find some control he could be a solid pitcher with a high amount of K's. 5.Anibel Sanchez--This guy is known for mostly 2 things, 1st he threw a no hitter as a rookie, and 2ND he was involved in the trade along with Hanley Ramirez for Josh Beckett and Mike Lowell. Now here is what you need to know, he is now over a year removed from Tommy John Surgery and he should now be regaining his control. Sanchez is doing OK this spring, in 13 IP he has walked 8 but he has also posted a 3.46 ERA. I am not saying run to get him but his talent and having a rotation spot make him worth a stab as a bench player. WHY NOT? 6.Kyle Davies--I don't know why I just have always liked this guys ability. this spring it looks like he is finally putting some of it together he has 10 K's in 15 IP and a 3.45 ERA with only 6 BB. That's not too bad, he wont be an ACE ever but he could help you this year. 7.Kelvim Escobar--He was a great pitcher in 2007 then he was hurt and missed all of 2008. Well now its 2009 and his recovery by all accounts is going great and he could be back in the rotation for the Angels by mid April early May. Take him late and hopefully he produces like he used too. 8.Jordan Zimermann-- He was mentioned in another article on this site so I will just mention, he is now up to 16 K's and no runs allowed in 12 IP. 9.Franklin Morales--This guy had a HORRIBLE year last year so no one wants him. Two things, One he has unbelievable stuff, and Two he was dealing with a back injury last year that he kept from his team. It looks like Morales will lock up the 5Th starters position pretty soon. He has had a good spring not a great one but the Rockies lack better alternatives. So I think he will be with the big club unless he implodes again. Why not take the chance on a guy with superior stuff as a bench player. I know he pitches in Colorado but the thin air in Denver hurts breaking ball pitchers more then pitchers with a dominating fastball(EX: Ubaldo Jimenez is real good at COORS). I won't say he is this years Volquez, however, he has the talent and at worst could be this years Cueto. 10. Ian Snell--Wow this guys is horrible a 5.42 ERA and 1.76 WHIP last yr I will pass. That statement is what most fantasy owner's have said when they have looked at Snell. Here is the reality yes he SUCKED! plain and simple last year, but he is still only 27 and in 2007 he was very good with a 3.76 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. So can he bounce back? Well if you have been watching the WBC, he was pitching for Puerto Rico and looked really good with a 2.25 ERA for the tournament. K's have never been a question he can strike guys out it is just control that is the problem. Draft him late and hope he really wants a new contract and has his Career year. I don't think any of these guys listed above will be your staff ace, but one or two of them could turn into a nice starter and really help bolster your staffs. The Bay State Scout

My Top Ten Picks

I am going to go through my first ten picks from this past draft for our ROTO league. 1. (4) Albert Pujols> I was expecting to get David Wright but surprisingly he went 1st overall. So I was very surprised and extremely excited to land the best 1st Baseman, I'll take it! 2. (17) Dustin Pedroia> Ten team league, 2nd pick for me, yes pedroia was a bit of a reach, but I wanted one of the top 3 2nd baseman and Kinsler and utley were gone. 3. (24) Matt Holliday> In my opinion this was my best pick, a steal I think. Holliday might not have 30 Hr power out of Coors and he wont steal 30+ bases in Oakland, but he should hit still hit 20+ HR's and should still have a high AVG and over 100 RBI, he could also chip in 10+ steals. 4. (37) Matt Kemp> Love Matt Kemp all I can say is possibly Grady Sizemore numbers but 31 picks later. 5. (44) Álex Ríos> This pick I like as well solidfied my OF as at least a top 3 coming out of the draft. Rios always has that chance he puts it all together for a whole season and gets to that 30, 30 plateau. He will be hitting 3rd this yr so even in a bad offense I think he could get something like 290-90-20-100-30. 6. (57) Geovany Soto> Like Soto here alot, and with first base covered and none of the top 3rd baseman or short stops left Soto was the guy, I like to wait on pitching. 7. (64) Dan Haren> I didn't expect this, Haren was sitting there, not bad to wait 7 rds and have a ACE quility pitcher still available. 8. (77) Stephen Drew> I was going SS with this pick but it was between Jhonny Peralta and Drew. In my opinion Drew was the guy because of the high AVG other then that I expect similer numbers from both. 9. (84) Aubrey Huff > If Huff does what he did last year then this was grand larceny. If he doesn't then I got him right where I should of. either way it is a solid 3rd baseman to put along side Pujols. 10. (97) Brian Fuentes> This was my #1 closer on the board because I won't pay for guys like Rivera and Lidge. I think that if K ROD can get 62 saves with the Angels then Fuentes should get 40+ this year. One reason why I think that, is Fuentes is just a better closer right now and the Mets will regret paying that money for a declining closer when Fuentes was cheaper.

That's my first ten picks from this past draft and so far I think i am looking pretty good on offense. My pitching after ten rounds was just Fuentes and Haren, but I like to wait on pitching, so as of right now it is a weakness no doubt. I will be posting rounds 11-28 soon to break those down.

The Bay State Scout