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Wednesday, May 13, 2009

Sell high Zimmerman

When will Ryan Zimmerman's value be any higher? He has a lot going for him with his 30 game hit streak and his 8 homers. You could put him on the block and look for a struggling star than will bounce back. B.J. Upton, Carlos Quentin, or David Ortiz could give you great value in return. Ryan Zimmerman has never hit higher than 287. in any season yet and has topped out at 24 homers in only one season. Even if he does keep it up, his production will not be top 25 worthy. Zimmerman owners, look for trades to come flying in from desperate owners and pick out the trade that will help your team the most.

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Thursday, April 2, 2009

Mora Value Than You Think

Written By Paul C Benhamou, PCB Scout www.profantasybaseball.com

Most people think fantasy sports are all about names. And to a certain extent, they’re correct. When you want to make a trade, you’re always going to get a better return for the bigger name. When you’re making a pick, a name like Wright is more durable and reliable – not to mention way better - than a name like Chavez. But what people tend to forget is that the heart of fantasy sports is about numbers; and when drafting, it’s about value. So, forget the names and just focus on numbers and value. Based on value, few players are giving you what Melvin Mora is giving you. Let’s take a look at Mora’s numbers from last year compared with two other third basemen, Adrian Beltre and Ryan Zimmerman, both of whom are being picked in the top 10 at the position:

I know what you’re thinking: “So Mora had a good year and Zimmerman missed 50 games or so - it’ll balance back out.” Ok, well let’s take a look at the averages over the past three years, shall we?

Now that we’ve established that Mora’s numbers are comparable or better than Beltre and Zimmerman’s, a look at their respective ADP’s (Average Draft Position) should reveal that they are all going right around the same spot, right? Wrong.

You read it right. That means Mora is going 11 or 12 rounds later than both Beltre and Zimmerman, and in many 10-team leagues is not even being drafted at all. Mora is slated to hit either 2nd or 5th in an Orioles lineup, which does pack some front-end pop. My advice? If you’ve already drafted, keep an eye on Mora, especially if you’re looking for someone to replace A-Rod for two months or if you ended up with a lesser option at the hot corner.
If you haven’t drafted yet and you end up in that Beltre/Zimmerman spot still looking for a third baseman, use that pick on a starter like Kazmir, Baker, Wainwright, or Volquez, and grab Melvin Mora 10 rounds later. You can thank me later.
PCB Scout

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